Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-05 · 19:30
14.4221.7%
X4.0123.9%
21.7654.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WWWLLWLWLL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
M'gladbach
WLLDLDWWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.90
Against
5.30
11.80
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

0.90goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.30
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.50goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.30
11.80
Match total
9.40
100%10/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.50
Match total
24.30

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.60
On target
5.20
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.7%19.4%-2.2 pp
Draw23.9%22.2%-1.7 pp
Away54.4%58.3%+3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS61.1%

Historical average

1.082.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.9%
1-111.1%
0-18.3%
1-48.3%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.445.72
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away50.0%