Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-05-31 · 17:00
18.5011.2%
X5.4917.3%
21.3371.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paderborn
WLLDWLLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Dortmund
DLWWLWLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.10
1.90
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.70
Against
2.70
10.80
Total
6.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.10
1.90
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.30goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.50
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.10goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
1.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.70
Corners against
2.70
10.80
Match total
6.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.50
Match total
3.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
27.00
Match total
18.40

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.50
On target
4.60
9%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.2%20.0%+8.8 pp
Draw17.3%25.0%+7.7 pp
Away71.5%55.0%-16.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.545.0%
BTTS65.0%

Historical average

1.252.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
0-410.0%
0-210.0%
1-210.0%
3-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

2.606.85
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away76.9%