Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-05-30 · 14:30
12.4738.6%
X3.3728.3%
22.8833.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Schalke 04
DDWWDWDLDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Werder Bremen
DLWLLWLLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.80
2.10
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.10
Against
6.00
11.00
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
2.10
2.80
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Schalke 04 attack
1.20goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded2.10Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.20goals per matchSchalke 04 conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.00
11.00
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
21.80
Match total
26.10
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.60
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.6%37.7%-0.9 pp
Draw28.3%21.3%-7.0 pp
Away33.1%41.0%+7.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.518.0%
BTTS47.5%
Historical average
1.10–1.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.4%
1-113.1%
1-211.5%
0-19.8%
2-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.44–4.23
Average total9.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.531.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Draw FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI
Away FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals23.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away47.6%