Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-05-30 · 14:30
12.7934.2%
X3.7125.7%
22.3840.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LWLLLLDWDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Hoffenheim
WWWLWWLDDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.60
2.00
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.40
Against
5.80
10.10
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.90goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.60goals per match
Mainz conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.80
10.10
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
22.20
Match total
24.70

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.60
On target
4.50
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.2%58.3%+24.1 pp
Draw25.7%25.0%-0.7 pp
Away40.1%16.7%-23.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.58.3%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

1.420.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-025.0%
0-016.7%
1-08.3%
1-28.3%
0-38.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.334.17
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away61.5%