Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-05-27 · 19:30
12.2741.9%
X3.4827.4%
23.1030.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Union Berlin
LWWWWLWLDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Mainz
WLLWLWLWLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.90
1.10
Conceded
2.30
30%
Over 2.5
90%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
2.10
1.80
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.90
Against
7.30
8.30
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.50
Total goals
4.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.40goals per match
Mainz conceded2.30
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.90goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
7.30
8.30
Match total
12.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
26.00
Match total
25.30

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.40
On target
4.60
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%45.2%+3.2 pp
Draw27.4%32.3%+4.9 pp
Away30.7%22.6%-8.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.461.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
2-114.0%
1-010.8%
2-09.7%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.864.62
Average total10.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.1%
Over 9.560.2%
Over 10.549.5%
Over 11.539.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI
Draw FT44.8%28.4%–62.5% CI
Away FT17.2%7.6%–34.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals20.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.6%
Away48.3%