Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-05-27 · 19:30
12.4638.8%
X3.6526.1%
22.7235.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
WLDLWLWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
FC Koln
DLLLLWLWWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
2.60
Conceded
2.20
90%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.90
2.30
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.30
Against
5.40
10.80
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
2.60
Goals conceded
2.20
4.00
Total goals
3.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.40goals per match
FC Koln conceded2.20
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.60goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded2.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.40
10.80
Match total
10.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.20
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.30N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
20.10
Match total
25.80

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
5.50
On target
5.00
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%63.6%+24.9 pp
Draw26.1%0.0%-26.1 pp
Away35.1%36.4%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

2.091.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-127.3%
3-018.2%
0-118.2%
0-39.1%
5-39.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.275.82
Average total11.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.563.6%
Over 10.563.6%
Over 11.554.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away38.5%