Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-05-27 · 17:30
11.3570.8%
X5.4917.4%
28.0711.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
DWWWWWDWDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Hertha
WDLLDWWWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
6.40
10.70
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
3.80
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.90goals per match
Hertha conceded1.30
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.80goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.70
2H goals scored
1.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.40
10.70
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.30
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
20.10
Match total
23.50

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
7.60
On target
4.20
16%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.8%85.0%+14.2 pp
Draw17.4%0.0%-17.4 pp
Away11.8%15.0%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS35.0%

Historical average

2.400.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-025.0%
2-020.0%
3-110.0%
3-210.0%
1-210.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.903.10
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away35.7%