Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-03-11 · 17:30
11.7853.5%
X4.0323.6%
24.1622.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
WWWWWWWWDL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
FC Koln
LDLLLLWLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
2.40
80%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.90
2.40
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.10
Against
6.00
10.00
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
2.40
3.90
Total goals
3.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

2.70goals per match
FC Koln conceded2.40
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.50goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.00
10.00
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.00
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
22.50
Match total
26.50

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
7.40
On target
4.90
18%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.5%60.0%+6.5 pp
Draw23.6%20.0%-3.6 pp
Away22.9%20.0%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS70.0%

Historical average

1.901.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.0%
0-210.0%
1-010.0%
1-110.0%
0-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.705.20
Average total8.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.520.0%
Over 11.510.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away50.0%