Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-03-11 · 17:30
11.7853.5%
X4.0323.6%
24.1622.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
M'gladbach
WWWWWWWWDL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
FC Koln
LDLLLLWLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.70
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
2.40
80%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.90
2.40
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.10
Against
6.00
10.00
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
2.40
3.90
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
M'gladbach attack
2.70goals per matchFC Koln conceded2.40Matchup
FC Koln attack
1.50goals per matchM'gladbach conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.00
10.00
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.00
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
22.50
Match total
26.50
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
7.40
On target
4.90
18%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.5%60.0%+6.5 pp
Draw23.6%20.0%-3.6 pp
Away22.9%20.0%-2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS70.0%
Historical average
1.90–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-120.0%
0-210.0%
1-010.0%
1-110.0%
0-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
3.70–5.20
Average total8.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.520.0%
Over 11.510.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away50.0%