Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 17:00
11.8950.4%
X3.8624.7%
23.8224.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LWLWLLLLDW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Fortuna Dusseldorf
LLLDDLLLDW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.30
Against
5.50
10.90
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
2.30
2.70
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.10goals per match
Fortuna Dusseldorf conceded2.30
Matchup

Fortuna Dusseldorf attack

0.90goals per match
Mainz conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.50
10.90
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.80
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
22.40
Match total
26.00

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.50
On target
3.00
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.4%32.1%-18.3 pp
Draw24.7%46.4%+21.8 pp
Away24.9%21.4%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS71.4%

Historical average

1.461.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-128.6%
0-010.7%
1-07.1%
1-27.1%
2-47.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.144.29
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.560.7%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away25.0%