Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 17:30
13.0731.1%
X3.8025.1%
22.1843.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
LWWWWWWWWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Dortmund
DDDLWWLWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
2.10
1.30
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
2.50
2H goals
2.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.30
Against
3.00
10.80
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
2.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
4.00
Total goals
3.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

2.70goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.80
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.10goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.30
Corners against
3.00
10.80
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.30N=10
5.50
Match total
2.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
24.40
Match total
19.20

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
7.40
On target
5.10
18%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.1%28.6%-2.5 pp
Draw25.1%28.6%+3.5 pp
Away43.8%42.9%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS71.4%

Historical average

1.291.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-221.4%
2-021.4%
1-121.4%
2-17.1%
1-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.365.50
Average total10.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.6%
Over 9.564.3%
Over 10.564.3%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals31.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away62.5%