Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 14:30
12.1644.2%
X3.4627.6%
23.3928.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hertha
WLLLWDLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Werder Bremen
DDDLWLLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.30
2.20
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.20
Against
6.90
8.00
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
2.20
Goals conceded
2.30
3.20
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hertha attack
1.00goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded2.30Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.30goals per matchHertha conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.90
8.00
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.10
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
23.50
Match total
24.80
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
2.20
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%52.0%+7.7 pp
Draw27.6%26.5%-1.1 pp
Away28.2%21.6%-6.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS51.0%
Historical average
1.62–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.7%
1-112.7%
2-09.8%
2-18.8%
3-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.94–4.69
Average total10.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.6%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.541.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Draw FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Away FT23.1%11.0%–42.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals19.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.5%
Away42.3%