Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 14:30
12.1644.2%
X3.4627.6%
23.3928.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hertha
WLLLWDLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Werder Bremen
DDDLWLLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
2.20
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.20
Against
6.90
8.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
2.20
Goals conceded
2.30
3.20
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.00goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded2.30
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.30goals per match
Hertha conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.90
8.00
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.10
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
23.50
Match total
24.80

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
2.20
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%52.0%+7.7 pp
Draw27.6%26.5%-1.1 pp
Away28.2%21.6%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.621.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.7%
1-112.7%
2-09.8%
2-18.8%
3-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.944.69
Average total10.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.6%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.541.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Draw FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Away FT23.1%11.0%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals19.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away42.3%