Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 14:30
12.3341.0%
X3.3928.2%
23.1030.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
LDDWWWLLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Union Berlin
LLWLDLLLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
7.00
Against
6.00
12.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.00goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.90
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.20goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
7.00
Corners against
6.00
12.40
Match total
9.80
100%10/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.90
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
21.40
Match total
25.90

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.00
On target
4.30
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%39.2%-1.8 pp
Draw28.2%31.4%+3.2 pp
Away30.8%29.4%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.371.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-013.7%
1-19.8%
2-08.8%
2-18.8%
0-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.004.43
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.5%
Over 9.559.8%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.536.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%12.4%–40.0% CI
Draw FT55.9%39.5%–71.1% CI
Away FT20.6%10.3%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

0.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal58.8%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals2.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.2%
Away38.2%