Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-03-06 · 19:00
13.1929.9%
X3.8225.0%
22.1245.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paderborn
LLWLLDWLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
FC Koln
WLDLLLLWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
2.10
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.20N=10
6.50
Against
6.00
11.70
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
2.10
Goals conceded
2.40
3.50
Total goals
3.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.40goals per match
FC Koln conceded2.40
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.50goals per match
Paderborn conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
1.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
6.50
Corners against
6.00
11.70
Match total
11.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.20
Match total
4.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
26.20
Match total
26.60

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.20
On target
4.90
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.9%27.8%-2.2 pp
Draw25.0%27.8%+2.8 pp
Away45.1%44.4%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.9%
BTTS77.8%

Historical average

1.441.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.2%
2-316.7%
1-311.1%
1-011.1%
1-211.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.894.94
Average total10.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away63.6%