Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 17:30
12.2242.9%
X3.5127.2%
23.1929.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
LLWLDWWWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Schalke 04
WWLWWLDLDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
6.30
Against
5.20
11.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.60goals per match
Schalke 04 conceded1.50
Matchup

Schalke 04 attack

1.50goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
6.30
Corners against
5.20
11.30
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.70
Match total
3.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
26.60
Match total
21.70

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
5.30
On target
4.20
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches72
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%47.2%+4.3 pp
Draw27.2%29.2%+2.0 pp
Away29.9%23.6%-6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.531.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
1-013.9%
2-011.1%
2-19.7%
0-05.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.544.78
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=72.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away38.9%