Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 14:30
11.8451.8%
X3.9524.1%
23.9624.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
WLWLWLLLLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Paderborn
DLLLDWLWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.70
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.80
Against
7.80
10.50
Total
13.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.10goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.80
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.10goals per match
Mainz conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.80
10.50
Match total
13.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.80
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
23.10
Match total
18.20

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.70
On target
3.60
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.8%60.0%+8.2 pp
Draw24.1%10.0%-14.1 pp
Away24.1%30.0%+5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.801.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-220.0%
2-020.0%
2-410.0%
3-110.0%
2-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.104.20
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away31.3%