Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 14:30
11.8451.8%
X3.9524.1%
23.9624.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mainz
WLWLWLLLLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Paderborn
DLLLDWLWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.10
1.70
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.80
Against
7.80
10.50
Total
13.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mainz attack
1.10goals per matchPaderborn conceded1.80Matchup
Paderborn attack
1.10goals per matchMainz conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.80
10.50
Match total
13.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.80
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
23.10
Match total
18.20
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.70
On target
3.60
7%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.8%60.0%+8.2 pp
Draw24.1%10.0%-14.1 pp
Away24.1%30.0%+5.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.80–1.40
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-220.0%
2-020.0%
2-410.0%
3-110.0%
2-110.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.10–4.20
Average total9.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal62.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away31.3%