Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 14:30
16.8513.9%
X5.4117.6%
21.3968.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
LWWLDLWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Bayern Munich
DWDLWLWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.60
2.00
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
90%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.90
2.20
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.40
Against
4.30
10.60
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.60
Total goals
4.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.60goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.50
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

2.60goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.30
10.60
Match total
9.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.50
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
21.30
Match total
18.30

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
17.90N=10
5.60
On target
6.80
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.9%36.4%+22.5 pp
Draw17.6%0.0%-17.6 pp
Away68.5%63.6%-4.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.563.6%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.552.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-218.2%
1-418.2%
1-09.1%
0-49.1%
0-39.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.185.36
Average total8.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.536.4%
Over 9.536.4%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.2%
Away76.5%