Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 14:30
11.2079.3%
X7.0113.6%
213.417.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WDWWDWDWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Freiburg
WLDDLLDWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

3.50
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.90
90%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
2.90
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
2.60
Against
5.60
9.40
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.50
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
4.40
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

3.50goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.90
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.20goals per match
Dortmund conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
2.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.60
9.40
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.20
Match total
4.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
18.10
Match total
23.50

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
7.70
On target
3.80
21%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.3%76.2%-3.1 pp
Draw13.6%14.3%+0.7 pp
Away7.1%9.5%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.552.4%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

2.620.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-214.3%
4-014.3%
5-09.5%
2-09.5%
1-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.953.00
Average total10.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.2%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away46.2%