Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 17:00
11.8053.0%
X3.7525.4%
24.4121.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Wolfsburg
DDWDLLWDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Mainz
LLWLLWLWLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
2.50
30%
Over 2.5
90%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
2.20
1.20
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.50
Against
7.90
10.40
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
2.50
2.20
Total goals
4.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Wolfsburg attack
1.00goals per matchMainz conceded2.50Matchup
Mainz attack
1.90goals per matchWolfsburg conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.90
10.40
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.20
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.00
Match total
24.60
Shots
15.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.30
On target
4.50
6%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.0%55.0%+2.0 pp
Draw25.4%35.0%+9.6 pp
Away21.6%10.0%-11.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.555.0%
BTTS75.0%
Historical average
2.25–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.0%
2-215.0%
4-110.0%
2-010.0%
3-110.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.20–4.90
Average total11.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.555.0%
Over 11.530.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away20.0%