Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 17:00
11.8053.0%
X3.7525.4%
24.4121.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wolfsburg
DDWDLLWDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Mainz
LLWLLWLWLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
2.50
30%
Over 2.5
90%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
2.20
1.20
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.50
Against
7.90
10.40
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
2.50
2.20
Total goals
4.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Wolfsburg attack

1.00goals per match
Mainz conceded2.50
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.90goals per match
Wolfsburg conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.90
10.40
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.20
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.00
Match total
24.60

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.30
On target
4.50
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.0%55.0%+2.0 pp
Draw25.4%35.0%+9.6 pp
Away21.6%10.0%-11.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.555.0%
BTTS75.0%

Historical average

2.251.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
2-215.0%
4-110.0%
2-010.0%
3-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.204.90
Average total11.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.555.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away20.0%