Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 14:30
16.4414.8%
X5.3817.7%
21.4167.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Werder Bremen
LWLDDLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Dortmund
LDDDLWWLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.00
2.40
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
2.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.20
Against
3.50
11.00
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.00
2.40
Goals conceded
2.10
3.20
Total goals
4.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

0.80goals per match
Dortmund conceded2.10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.00goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.50
11.00
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.40
Match total
2.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
8.40N=10
23.80
Match total
18.60

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.00
On target
4.70
5%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.8%29.4%+14.6 pp
Draw17.7%17.6%-0.0 pp
Away67.5%52.9%-14.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.582.4%
Over 3.564.7%
BTTS76.5%

Historical average

1.652.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-417.6%
0-411.8%
2-111.8%
1-111.8%
4-45.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.295.47
Average total8.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.541.2%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away81.8%