Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 14:30
16.4414.8%
X5.3817.7%
21.4167.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Werder Bremen
LWLDDLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Dortmund
LDDDLWWLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
2.00
2.40
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
2.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.20
Against
3.50
11.00
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.00
2.40
Goals conceded
2.10
3.20
Total goals
4.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
0.80goals per matchDortmund conceded2.10Matchup
Dortmund attack
2.00goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded2.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.50
11.00
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.40
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
8.40N=10
23.80
Match total
18.60
Shots
15.70N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.00
On target
4.70
5%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.8%29.4%+14.6 pp
Draw17.7%17.6%-0.0 pp
Away67.5%52.9%-14.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.582.4%
Over 3.564.7%
BTTS76.5%
Historical average
1.65–2.53
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-417.6%
0-411.8%
2-111.8%
1-111.8%
4-45.9%
Comparable corner averages
3.29–5.47
Average total8.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.541.2%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.523.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.4%
Away81.8%