Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 14:30
11.6458.1%
X4.2122.6%
24.9419.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
M'gladbach
DLWWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Hoffenheim
LDDWWWLWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.80
2.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.80
Against
7.70
10.30
Total
12.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
3.80
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
M'gladbach attack
2.60goals per matchHoffenheim conceded1.00Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
1.40goals per matchM'gladbach conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.70
10.30
Match total
12.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.20
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
24.60
Match total
25.60
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.80
On target
4.00
17%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.1%38.5%-19.6 pp
Draw22.6%23.1%+0.4 pp
Away19.3%38.5%+19.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.561.5%
BTTS53.8%
Historical average
2.38–1.46
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
4-015.4%
2-37.7%
0-07.7%
1-27.7%
1-57.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.15–3.92
Average total11.08
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.576.9%
Over 10.553.8%
Over 11.538.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.62
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.8%
Away46.2%