Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 14:30
12.4339.2%
X3.3828.2%
22.9332.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hertha
WWLLLWDLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
FC Koln
LWLDLLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.10
1.80
Conceded
2.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.40N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.70
Against
5.70
8.10
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.80
Goals conceded
2.60
3.00
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hertha attack
1.20goals per matchFC Koln conceded2.60Matchup
FC Koln attack
1.10goals per matchHertha conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.70
8.10
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
24.10
Match total
27.60
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
2.50
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.2%40.3%+1.1 pp
Draw28.2%37.1%+8.9 pp
Away32.5%22.6%-10.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS61.3%
Historical average
1.42–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.4%
2-112.9%
1-09.7%
2-29.7%
1-29.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.73–4.92
Average total10.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.8%
Over 9.561.3%
Over 10.553.2%
Over 11.543.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Draw FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Away FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.9%
Away52.9%