Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 14:30
12.4339.2%
X3.3828.2%
22.9332.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hertha
WWLLLWDLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
FC Koln
LWLDLLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.80
Conceded
2.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.70
Against
5.70
8.10
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.80
Goals conceded
2.60
3.00
Total goals
3.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.20goals per match
FC Koln conceded2.60
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.10goals per match
Hertha conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.70
8.10
Match total
11.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
24.10
Match total
27.60

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
2.50
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.2%40.3%+1.1 pp
Draw28.2%37.1%+8.9 pp
Away32.5%22.6%-10.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS61.3%

Historical average

1.421.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.4%
2-112.9%
1-09.7%
2-29.7%
1-29.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.734.92
Average total10.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.8%
Over 9.561.3%
Over 10.553.2%
Over 11.543.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Draw FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Away FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away52.9%