Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 14:30
11.9349.5%
X3.7025.8%
23.8724.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WLDDWWWLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Fortuna Dusseldorf
LLLLDDLLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
7.10
Against
5.20
12.30
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
2.50
2.40
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.30goals per match
Fortuna Dusseldorf conceded2.50
Matchup

Fortuna Dusseldorf attack

0.80goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
7.10
Corners against
5.20
12.30
Match total
8.70
100%10/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.80
Match total
5.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
21.20
Match total
26.50

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.40
On target
3.00
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.5%47.0%-2.5 pp
Draw25.8%24.2%-1.6 pp
Away24.7%28.8%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

1.551.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.1%
0-112.1%
1-110.6%
2-010.6%
2-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.644.00
Average total10.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.8%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.553.0%
Over 11.539.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Draw FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Away FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away57.9%