Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 14:30
11.9349.5%
X3.7025.8%
23.8724.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Freiburg
WLDDWWWLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Fortuna Dusseldorf
LLLLDDLLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
7.10
Against
5.20
12.30
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
2.50
2.40
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Freiburg attack
1.30goals per matchFortuna Dusseldorf conceded2.50Matchup
Fortuna Dusseldorf attack
0.80goals per matchFreiburg conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
7.10
Corners against
5.20
12.30
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.80
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.10N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
21.20
Match total
26.50
Shots
13.90N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.40
On target
3.00
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.5%47.0%-2.5 pp
Draw25.8%24.2%-1.6 pp
Away24.7%28.8%+4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS57.6%
Historical average
1.55–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.1%
0-112.1%
1-110.6%
2-010.6%
2-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.64–4.00
Average total10.64
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.581.8%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.553.0%
Over 11.539.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Draw FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Away FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals21.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.6%
Away57.9%