Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 17:00
12.8433.5%
X3.4127.9%
22.4638.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LWLWLWLLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Schalke 04
DWWLWWLDLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
2.00
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.70
Against
5.70
10.40
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
2.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.20goals per match
Schalke 04 conceded1.50
Matchup

Schalke 04 attack

1.50goals per match
Mainz conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.70
10.40
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.80
Match total
3.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
23.90
Match total
21.70

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.60
On target
4.00
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.5%35.5%+2.0 pp
Draw27.9%32.3%+4.4 pp
Away38.6%32.3%-6.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.5%
BTTS64.5%

Historical average

1.521.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.9%
1-312.9%
3-312.9%
1-09.7%
1-19.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.395.45
Average total10.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.2%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.535.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away50.0%