Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 14:30
11.2576.1%
X6.3215.0%
210.738.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
RB Leipzig
WDLDWWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Werder Bremen
WDDDLWLLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.80
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.80
2.10
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.90
Against
6.80
9.90
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
4.00
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
RB Leipzig attack
2.80goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded2.10Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.50goals per matchRB Leipzig conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.80
9.90
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.00
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.20N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
20.60
Match total
25.90
Shots
17.80N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
7.90
On target
3.80
16%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.1%78.6%+2.5 pp
Draw15.0%21.4%+6.4 pp
Away8.9%0.0%-8.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.592.9%
Over 3.578.6%
BTTS64.3%
Historical average
3.07–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-114.3%
4-014.3%
2-214.3%
3-214.3%
3-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.71–3.79
Average total10.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.564.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.535.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.75
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away66.7%