Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 14:30
11.2576.1%
X6.3215.0%
210.738.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
WDLDWWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Werder Bremen
WDDDLWLLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.80
2.10
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.90
Against
6.80
9.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
4.00
Total goals
3.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.80goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded2.10
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.50goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.80
9.90
Match total
10.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.00
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
20.60
Match total
25.90

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
7.90
On target
3.80
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.1%78.6%+2.5 pp
Draw15.0%21.4%+6.4 pp
Away8.9%0.0%-8.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.592.9%
Over 3.578.6%
BTTS64.3%

Historical average

3.070.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-114.3%
4-014.3%
2-214.3%
3-214.3%
3-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.713.79
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.564.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away66.7%