Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 14:30
12.7334.9%
X3.5027.2%
22.5137.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paderborn
LLLWLLDWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Hertha
DLLWDLLDWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
2.40
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.20
Against
7.20
11.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
2.40
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.40goals per match
Hertha conceded1.60
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.30goals per match
Paderborn conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
1.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
6.20
Corners against
7.20
11.20
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.10
Match total
3.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
26.50
Match total
23.40

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.90
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.9%47.1%+12.2 pp
Draw27.2%27.5%+0.3 pp
Away37.9%25.5%-12.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.551.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.7%
0-011.8%
3-19.8%
2-07.8%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.535.27
Average total10.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.5%
Over 9.562.7%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.539.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Draw FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Away FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away40.0%