Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 14:30
12.0446.7%
X3.6126.4%
23.5526.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Augsburg
DWLDLWWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Freiburg
WWLDDLLDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.40
1.70
Conceded
1.80
90%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
2.40
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.70
Against
6.80
7.90
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.70
Goals conceded
1.80
3.80
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Augsburg attack

2.10goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.80
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.40goals per match
Augsburg conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.80
7.90
Match total
10.60
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.60
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.60
Match total
22.70

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.80
On target
4.10
17%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.7%43.2%-3.5 pp
Draw26.4%37.8%+11.4 pp
Away26.9%18.9%-7.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS59.5%

Historical average

1.701.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.6%
1-013.5%
2-28.1%
2-08.1%
0-15.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.863.89
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away45.5%