Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-14 · 19:30
11.4366.6%
X5.0618.8%
26.5614.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dortmund
WWDWWDWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Ein Frankfurt
LLWLLLLLWD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
3.60
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.70
90%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.90
3.00
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
7.30N=10
For
6.30N=10
2.60
Against
5.30
9.90
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
4.60
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dortmund attack
3.60goals per matchEin Frankfurt conceded1.70Matchup
Ein Frankfurt attack
1.10goals per matchDortmund conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
2.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.30
9.90
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.10
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
18.50
Match total
21.80
Shots
17.20N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
8.00
On target
4.20
21%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.6%72.7%+6.1 pp
Draw18.8%18.2%-0.7 pp
Away14.5%9.1%-5.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS63.6%
Historical average
2.09–0.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-127.3%
1-118.2%
1-018.2%
2-19.1%
3-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.09–4.27
Average total11.36
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.563.6%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.536.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.5%
Away18.2%