Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-14 · 19:30
11.4366.6%
X5.0618.8%
26.5614.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WWDWWDWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Ein Frankfurt
LLWLLLLLWD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

3.60
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.70
90%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
3.00
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
6.30N=10
2.60
Against
5.30
9.90
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
4.60
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

3.60goals per match
Ein Frankfurt conceded1.70
Matchup

Ein Frankfurt attack

1.10goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
2.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.30
9.90
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.10
Match total
3.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
18.50
Match total
21.80

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
8.00
On target
4.20
21%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.6%72.7%+6.1 pp
Draw18.8%18.2%-0.7 pp
Away14.5%9.1%-5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

2.090.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-127.3%
1-118.2%
1-018.2%
2-19.1%
3-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.094.27
Average total11.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.563.6%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away18.2%