Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 17:30
13.0531.2%
X3.8424.8%
22.1644.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
WDWDDLDWLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Dortmund
WLDDDLWWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
2.50
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.50N=10
For
5.50N=10
2.00
Against
3.90
11.50
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.50
Total goals
3.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.50goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.80
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.00goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.50N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
2.00
Corners against
3.90
11.50
Match total
9.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.20
Match total
2.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
8.40N=10
21.80
Match total
18.80

Shots

19.60N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
6.70
On target
4.70
8%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.2%28.6%-2.6 pp
Draw24.8%35.7%+10.9 pp
Away44.0%35.7%-8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS71.4%

Historical average

1.431.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-321.4%
1-121.4%
2-014.3%
2-37.1%
3-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.075.43
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.564.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away69.2%