Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 14:30
12.0845.9%
X3.5726.7%
23.4827.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetWerder Bremen: 9/10 · Union Berlin: 10/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Werder Bremen
LWLDDLLLL
1W 2D 6L · 0.56 PPM
Union Berlin
DLLLWLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
0.89
Scored
0.90
2.44
Conceded
2.10
78%
Over 2.5
60%
56%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.56
1H goals
1.30
1.78
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.00N=9
For
3.20N=10
4.11
Against
5.20
11.11
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/9 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/9 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=10
0.89
Goals scored
0.90
2.44
Goals conceded
2.10
3.33
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
0.89goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded2.10Matchup
Union Berlin attack
0.90goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded2.44Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=10
0.44
1H goals scored
0.50
1.11
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.44
2H goals scored
0.40
1.33
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=10
7.00N=9
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.11
Corners against
5.20
11.11
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.44N=9
For
2.50N=10
4.11
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.33N=9
Committed
14.70N=10
23.89
Match total
26.60
Shots
15.89N=9
Shots
12.00N=10
5.22
On target
3.20
6%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%50.0%+4.1 pp
Draw26.7%30.8%+4.0 pp
Away27.4%19.2%-8.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS57.7%
Historical average
1.77–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.2%
2-111.5%
2-011.5%
1-011.5%
2-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.35–5.65
Average total11.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.580.8%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.553.8%
Over 11.553.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.62
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.2%
Away38.5%