Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 14:30
11.5063.5%
X4.4721.3%
26.2415.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetSchalke 04: 10/10 · Paderborn: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Schalke 04
LWWDDDWWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Paderborn
LDLLLDWLW
2W 2D 5L · 0.89 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.11
1.10
Conceded
1.89
60%
Over 2.5
56%
50%
BTTS
44%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.44
2.00
2H goals
1.56
90%
Goal in 2H
89%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
5.33N=9
4.50
Against
6.89
10.30
Total
12.22
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=9
1.60
Goals scored
1.11
1.10
Goals conceded
1.89
2.70
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Schalke 04 attack
1.60goals per matchPaderborn conceded1.89Matchup
Paderborn attack
1.11goals per matchSchalke 04 conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=9
0.50
1H goals scored
0.67
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.78
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.44
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.11
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=9
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.33N=9
4.50
Corners against
6.89
10.30
Match total
12.22
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.22N=9
4.20
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
10.67N=9
23.70
Match total
19.22
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=9
4.70
On target
3.78
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.5%70.6%+7.1 pp
Draw21.3%17.6%-3.6 pp
Away15.3%11.8%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.576.5%
Over 3.547.1%
BTTS64.7%
Historical average
2.53–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-117.6%
2-211.8%
3-111.8%
4-011.8%
5-111.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.88–3.71
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.523.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away40.0%