Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 14:30
12.0346.9%
X3.6026.5%
23.5826.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hertha
LWWLLLWDLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Mainz
LLLWLLWLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.60
1.80
Conceded
2.70
70%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.10
1.60
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

2.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.10
Against
7.40
7.70
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded
2.70
2.90
Total goals
4.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.10goals per match
Mainz conceded2.70
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.60goals per match
Hertha conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.10
Corners against
7.40
7.70
Match total
11.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
23.80
Match total
23.80

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
2.40
On target
4.70
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.9%47.2%+0.3 pp
Draw26.5%36.1%+9.6 pp
Away26.6%16.7%-9.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.811.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.4%
1-013.9%
2-211.1%
2-011.1%
0-15.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.973.69
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.547.2%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away50.0%