Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 14:30
12.5537.3%
X3.5327.0%
22.6735.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetFreiburg: 9/10 · Hoffenheim: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Freiburg
WLDDWWWLL
4W 2D 3L · 1.56 PPM
Hoffenheim
LDDWWWLWW
5W 2D 2L · 1.89 PPM
Goals
1.33
Scored
1.56
1.22
Conceded
1.00
56%
Over 2.5
56%
56%
BTTS
56%
By half
0.67
1H goals
0.78
1.89
2H goals
1.78
89%
Goal in 2H
67%
Corners
5.22N=9
For
4.00N=9
6.78
Against
8.00
12.00
Total
12.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/9 home-side sample · 6/9 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/9 home-side sample · 7/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=9
1.33
Goals scored
1.56
1.22
Goals conceded
1.00
2.56
Total goals
2.56
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Freiburg attack
1.33goals per matchHoffenheim conceded1.00Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
1.56goals per matchFreiburg conceded1.22Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=9
0.33
1H goals scored
0.33
0.33
1H goals conceded
0.44
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.22
0.89
2H goals conceded
0.56
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=9
5.22N=9
Corners for
4.00N=9
6.78
Corners against
8.00
12.00
Match total
12.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.11N=9
For
2.44N=9
3.56
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.00N=9
Committed
12.11N=9
21.00
Match total
25.89
Shots
14.11N=9
Shots
10.44N=9
4.22
On target
3.78
9%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.3%53.1%+15.8 pp
Draw27.0%15.6%-11.4 pp
Away35.7%31.3%-4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS56.3%
Historical average
1.56–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.5%
1-012.5%
3-112.5%
1-212.5%
2-09.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.00–5.81
Average total10.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.546.9%
Over 11.543.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away50.0%