Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 14:30
12.0746.0%
X3.7125.7%
23.3728.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetAugsburg: 9/10 · Werder Bremen: 10/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Augsburg
DWLDLWWWL
4W 2D 3L · 1.56 PPM
Werder Bremen
LWDDDLWLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.11
Scored
1.60
1.78
Conceded
2.20
89%
Over 2.5
80%
67%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.44
1H goals
1.80
2.44
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.00N=9
For
3.80N=10
4.89
Against
6.60
7.89
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/9 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/9 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/9 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=10
2.11
Goals scored
1.60
1.78
Goals conceded
2.20
3.89
Total goals
3.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Augsburg attack
2.11goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded2.20Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.60goals per matchAugsburg conceded1.78Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.44
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.11
2H goals scored
0.80
1.33
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=10
3.00N=9
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.89
Corners against
6.60
7.89
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.22N=9
For
3.00N=10
4.33
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.78N=9
Committed
12.30N=10
22.33
Match total
26.20
Shots
11.89N=9
Shots
12.20N=10
4.89
On target
4.30
18%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.0%47.1%+1.0 pp
Draw25.7%17.6%-8.0 pp
Away28.3%35.3%+7.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS52.9%
Historical average
1.47–1.47
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-023.5%
1-117.6%
2-311.8%
3-15.9%
3-45.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.47–5.06
Average total10.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.558.8%
Over 11.547.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.5%36.8%–74.4% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals17.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.6%
Away26.1%