Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 14:30
11.5362.4%
X4.5321.1%
25.8016.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Current-season sample is not complete yetM'gladbach: 9/10 · Mainz: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
DLWWWWWWW
7W 1D 1L · 2.44 PPM
Mainz
LLLWLLWLW
3W 0D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.56
Scored
1.67
1.22
Conceded
2.67
78%
Over 2.5
89%
78%
BTTS
56%

By half

1.33
1H goals
2.11
2.44
2H goals
2.22
89%
Goal in 2H
89%

Corners

5.44N=9
For
4.00N=9
5.00
Against
7.56
10.44
Total
11.56
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/9 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/9 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/9 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=9 N=9
2.56
Goals scored
1.67
1.22
Goals conceded
2.67
3.78
Total goals
4.33
89%8/9
Over 1.5
89%8/9
78%7/9
Over 2.5
89%8/9
56%5/9
Over 3.5
44%4/9
78%7/9
BTTS
56%5/9
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

2.56goals per match
Mainz conceded2.67
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.67goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.22
Timing

First & second half

N=9 N=9
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.33
1H goals conceded
1.11
67%6/9
Over 0.5 1H
78%7/9
33%3/9
Leading at HT
33%3/9
1.56
2H goals scored
0.67
0.89
2H goals conceded
1.56
89%8/9
Over 0.5 2H
89%8/9
67%6/9
More goals in 2H
56%5/9
Set pieces

Corners

N=9 N=9
5.44N=9
Corners for
4.00N=9
5.00
Corners against
7.56
10.44
Match total
11.56
78%7/9
Over 8.5
89%8/9
67%6/9
Over 9.5
78%7/9
56%5/9
Team over 4.5
44%4/9
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.56N=9
For
2.56N=9
5.22
Match total
4.00
78%7/9
Over 3.5
78%7/9

Fouls

12.00N=9
Committed
13.78N=9
25.00
Match total
24.11

Shots

15.33N=9
Shots
13.00N=9
7.00
On target
4.22
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.4%63.2%+0.7 pp
Draw21.1%26.3%+5.2 pp
Away16.5%10.5%-5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.547.4%
BTTS42.1%

Historical average

2.420.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-110.5%
3-010.5%
0-010.5%
4-010.5%
2-210.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.323.47
Average total10.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Away FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away38.1%