Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 14:30
11.5362.4%
X4.5321.1%
25.8016.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetM'gladbach: 9/10 · Mainz: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
M'gladbach
DLWWWWWWW
7W 1D 1L · 2.44 PPM
Mainz
LLLWLLWLW
3W 0D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.56
Scored
1.67
1.22
Conceded
2.67
78%
Over 2.5
89%
78%
BTTS
56%
By half
1.33
1H goals
2.11
2.44
2H goals
2.22
89%
Goal in 2H
89%
Corners
5.44N=9
For
4.00N=9
5.00
Against
7.56
10.44
Total
11.56
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/9 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/9 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/9 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=9
2.56
Goals scored
1.67
1.22
Goals conceded
2.67
3.78
Total goals
4.33
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
M'gladbach attack
2.56goals per matchMainz conceded2.67Matchup
Mainz attack
1.67goals per matchM'gladbach conceded1.22Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=9
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.33
1H goals conceded
1.11
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.56
2H goals scored
0.67
0.89
2H goals conceded
1.56
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=9
5.44N=9
Corners for
4.00N=9
5.00
Corners against
7.56
10.44
Match total
11.56
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.56N=9
For
2.56N=9
5.22
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=9
Committed
13.78N=9
25.00
Match total
24.11
Shots
15.33N=9
Shots
13.00N=9
7.00
On target
4.22
17%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.4%63.2%+0.7 pp
Draw21.1%26.3%+5.2 pp
Away16.5%10.5%-5.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.547.4%
BTTS42.1%
Historical average
2.42–0.74
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-110.5%
3-010.5%
0-010.5%
4-010.5%
2-210.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.32–3.47
Average total10.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Away FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals28.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away38.1%