Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 14:30
11.7654.1%
X4.0123.7%
24.3022.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Current-season sample is not complete yetFreiburg: 8/10 · Paderborn: 8/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WLDDWWWL
4W 2D 2L · 1.75 PPM
Paderborn
LDLLLDWL
1W 2D 5L · 0.63 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
1.13
Conceded
2.13
63%
Over 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.75
1H goals
1.63
1.88
2H goals
1.50
88%
Goal in 2H
88%

Corners

5.13N=8
For
5.25N=8
6.88
Against
7.00
12.00
Total
12.25
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

5/8 home-side sample · 5/8 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

7/8 home-side sample · 7/8 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/8 home-side sample · 7/8 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=8 N=8
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.13
Goals conceded
2.13
2.63
Total goals
3.13
75%6/8
Over 1.5
88%7/8
63%5/8
Over 2.5
63%5/8
25%2/8
Over 3.5
25%2/8
63%5/8
BTTS
50%4/8
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.50goals per match
Paderborn conceded2.13
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.00goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.13
Timing

First & second half

N=8 N=8
0.38
1H goals scored
0.75
0.38
1H goals conceded
0.88
63%5/8
Over 0.5 1H
75%6/8
25%2/8
Leading at HT
25%2/8
1.13
2H goals scored
0.25
0.75
2H goals conceded
1.25
88%7/8
Over 0.5 2H
88%7/8
88%7/8
More goals in 2H
50%4/8
Set pieces

Corners

N=8 N=8
5.13N=8
Corners for
5.25N=8
6.88
Corners against
7.00
12.00
Match total
12.25
100%8/8
Over 8.5
88%7/8
75%6/8
Over 9.5
75%6/8
75%6/8
Team over 4.5
50%4/8
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.75N=8
For
2.00N=8
3.00
Match total
3.50
38%3/8
Over 3.5
50%4/8

Fouls

8.75N=8
Committed
11.13N=8
21.38
Match total
19.38

Shots

13.50N=8
Shots
11.63N=8
4.13
On target
3.88
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.1%68.8%+14.6 pp
Draw23.7%12.5%-11.2 pp
Away22.1%18.8%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

2.001.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-125.0%
1-012.5%
4-112.5%
1-16.3%
0-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.195.06
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away50.0%