Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-01-19 · 17:00
14.8419.7%
X4.4221.5%
21.6258.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Current-season sample is not complete yetPaderborn: 9/10 · Leverkusen: 8/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paderborn
LLLLWLLDW
2W 1D 6L · 0.78 PPM
Leverkusen
WLWLWWLW
5W 0D 3L · 1.88 PPM

Goals

1.33
Scored
1.38
2.11
Conceded
1.38
67%
Over 2.5
63%
78%
BTTS
25%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.38
1.44
2H goals
1.38
67%
Goal in 2H
88%

Corners

5.56N=9
For
3.00N=8
6.22
Against
4.38
11.78
Total
7.38
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/9 home-side sample · 5/8 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/9 home-side sample · 7/8 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=9 N=8
1.33
Goals scored
1.38
2.11
Goals conceded
1.38
3.44
Total goals
2.75
89%8/9
Over 1.5
88%7/8
67%6/9
Over 2.5
63%5/8
44%4/9
Over 3.5
25%2/8
78%7/9
BTTS
25%2/8
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.33goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.38
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.38goals per match
Paderborn conceded2.11
Timing

First & second half

N=9 N=8
0.78
1H goals scored
0.88
1.22
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%9/9
Over 0.5 1H
75%6/8
22%2/9
Leading at HT
50%4/8
0.56
2H goals scored
0.50
0.89
2H goals conceded
0.88
67%6/9
Over 0.5 2H
88%7/8
22%2/9
More goals in 2H
50%4/8
Set pieces

Corners

N=9 N=8
5.56N=9
Corners for
3.00N=8
6.22
Corners against
4.38
11.78
Match total
7.38
78%7/9
Over 8.5
38%3/8
78%7/9
Over 9.5
25%2/8
56%5/9
Team over 4.5
25%2/8
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.33N=9
For
2.00N=8
4.89
Match total
3.63
78%7/9
Over 3.5
63%5/8

Fouls

14.22N=9
Committed
10.50N=8
26.56
Match total
21.38

Shots

13.00N=9
Shots
12.88N=8
4.11
On target
6.38
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.7%8.3%-11.3 pp
Draw21.5%25.0%+3.5 pp
Away58.8%66.7%+7.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.922.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-316.7%
2-216.7%
0-116.7%
1-316.7%
3-58.3%

Comparable corner averages

2.836.33
Average total9.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.541.7%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away57.1%