Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 17:30
11.2874.5%
X5.8916.2%
210.319.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetRB Leipzig: 8/10 · Union Berlin: 8/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
RB Leipzig
WDLDWWWW
5W 2D 1L · 2.13 PPM
Union Berlin
DLLLWLDL
1W 2D 5L · 0.63 PPM
Goals
2.88
Scored
1.00
1.13
Conceded
1.63
75%
Over 2.5
50%
88%
BTTS
75%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.25
2.00
2H goals
1.38
88%
Goal in 2H
75%
Corners
6.50N=8
For
3.13N=8
3.88
Against
5.38
10.38
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/8 home-side sample · 6/8 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/8 home-side sample · 6/8 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
5/8 home-side sample · 5/8 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=8 N=8
2.88
Goals scored
1.00
1.13
Goals conceded
1.63
4.00
Total goals
2.63
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
RB Leipzig attack
2.88goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded1.63Matchup
Union Berlin attack
1.00goals per matchRB Leipzig conceded1.13Timing
First & second half
N=8 N=8
1.38
1H goals scored
0.50
0.63
1H goals conceded
0.75
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.88
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=8 N=8
6.50N=8
Corners for
3.13N=8
3.88
Corners against
5.38
10.38
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=8
For
2.63N=8
3.63
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=8
Committed
15.13N=8
19.63
Match total
28.38
Shots
17.63N=8
Shots
12.50N=8
7.88
On target
3.38
16%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.5%92.3%+17.8 pp
Draw16.2%0.0%-16.2 pp
Away9.3%7.7%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.584.6%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS61.5%
Historical average
3.00–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-015.4%
3-115.4%
2-115.4%
3-215.4%
4-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.15–3.08
Average total10.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.553.8%
Over 11.538.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals50.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away50.0%