Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 14:30
12.2143.0%
X3.4827.3%
23.2129.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Current-season sample is not complete yetMainz: 8/10 · Freiburg: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LWLWLWLL
3W 0D 5L · 1.13 PPM
Freiburg
WWWLDDLLD
3W 3D 3L · 1.33 PPM

Goals

1.25
Scored
1.67
1.88
Conceded
1.56
75%
Over 2.5
67%
63%
BTTS
67%

By half

1.25
1H goals
1.67
1.88
2H goals
1.56
88%
Goal in 2H
89%

Corners

5.50N=8
For
3.56N=9
4.75
Against
6.67
10.25
Total
10.22
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/8 home-side sample · 6/9 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

5/8 home-side sample · 6/9 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

7/8 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=8 N=9
1.25
Goals scored
1.67
1.88
Goals conceded
1.56
3.13
Total goals
3.22
75%6/8
Over 1.5
89%8/9
75%6/8
Over 2.5
67%6/9
50%4/8
Over 3.5
44%4/9
63%5/8
BTTS
67%6/9
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.25goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.56
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.67goals per match
Mainz conceded1.88
Timing

First & second half

N=8 N=9
0.38
1H goals scored
0.89
0.88
1H goals conceded
0.78
88%7/8
Over 0.5 1H
89%8/9
13%1/8
Leading at HT
22%2/9
0.88
2H goals scored
0.78
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.78
88%7/8
Over 0.5 2H
89%8/9
63%5/8
More goals in 2H
33%3/9
Set pieces

Corners

N=8 N=9
5.50N=8
Corners for
3.56N=9
4.75
Corners against
6.67
10.25
Match total
10.22
63%5/8
Over 8.5
56%5/9
50%4/8
Over 9.5
56%5/9
63%5/8
Team over 4.5
33%3/9
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.38N=8
For
1.67N=9
3.50
Match total
3.56
63%5/8
Over 3.5
44%4/9

Fouls

12.63N=8
Committed
9.89N=9
24.13
Match total
22.89

Shots

16.25N=8
Shots
12.56N=9
4.38
On target
4.22
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%31.3%-11.8 pp
Draw27.3%31.3%+3.9 pp
Away29.6%37.5%+7.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.540.6%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.441.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
0-29.4%
0-09.4%
2-29.4%
0-36.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.034.09
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.540.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away46.7%