Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 14:30
12.7135.1%
X3.5326.9%
22.5038.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Current-season sample is not complete yetFortuna Dusseldorf: 8/10 · Werder Bremen: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fortuna Dusseldorf
LDLWWLLW
3W 1D 4L · 1.25 PPM
Werder Bremen
LWDDDLWLL
2W 3D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.67
1.75
Conceded
2.44
63%
Over 2.5
89%
50%
BTTS
89%

By half

1.63
1H goals
2.00
1.13
2H goals
2.11
88%
Goal in 2H
89%

Corners

4.75N=8
For
3.78N=9
4.88
Against
6.67
9.63
Total
10.44
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

5/8 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

7/8 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

5/8 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=8 N=9
1.00
Goals scored
1.67
1.75
Goals conceded
2.44
2.75
Total goals
4.11
88%7/8
Over 1.5
89%8/9
63%5/8
Over 2.5
89%8/9
25%2/8
Over 3.5
78%7/9
50%4/8
BTTS
89%8/9
Matchup

Fortuna Dusseldorf attack

1.00goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded2.44
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.67goals per match
Fortuna Dusseldorf conceded1.75
Timing

First & second half

N=8 N=9
0.50
1H goals scored
0.89
1.13
1H goals conceded
1.11
88%7/8
Over 0.5 1H
100%9/9
25%2/8
Leading at HT
33%3/9
0.50
2H goals scored
0.78
0.63
2H goals conceded
1.33
88%7/8
Over 0.5 2H
89%8/9
38%3/8
More goals in 2H
33%3/9
Set pieces

Corners

N=8 N=9
4.75N=8
Corners for
3.78N=9
4.88
Corners against
6.67
9.63
Match total
10.44
63%5/8
Over 8.5
89%8/9
50%4/8
Over 9.5
78%7/9
50%4/8
Team over 4.5
33%3/9
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.63N=8
For
2.78N=9
4.00
Match total
4.89
63%5/8
Over 3.5
67%6/9

Fouls

9.63N=8
Committed
12.33N=9
22.25
Match total
26.00

Shots

13.38N=8
Shots
12.11N=9
4.13
On target
4.33
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.1%50.0%+14.9 pp
Draw26.9%27.8%+0.9 pp
Away38.0%22.2%-15.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.691.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-011.1%
2-111.1%
2-08.3%
3-18.3%
1-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.175.61
Average total10.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.2%
Over 9.563.9%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away40.0%