Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 14:30
12.7135.1%
X3.5326.9%
22.5038.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetFortuna Dusseldorf: 8/10 · Werder Bremen: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Fortuna Dusseldorf
LDLWWLLW
3W 1D 4L · 1.25 PPM
Werder Bremen
LWDDDLWLL
2W 3D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.67
1.75
Conceded
2.44
63%
Over 2.5
89%
50%
BTTS
89%
By half
1.63
1H goals
2.00
1.13
2H goals
2.11
88%
Goal in 2H
89%
Corners
4.75N=8
For
3.78N=9
4.88
Against
6.67
9.63
Total
10.44
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
5/8 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
7/8 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
5/8 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=8 N=9
1.00
Goals scored
1.67
1.75
Goals conceded
2.44
2.75
Total goals
4.11
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Fortuna Dusseldorf attack
1.00goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded2.44Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.67goals per matchFortuna Dusseldorf conceded1.75Timing
First & second half
N=8 N=9
0.50
1H goals scored
0.89
1.13
1H goals conceded
1.11
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.78
0.63
2H goals conceded
1.33
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=8 N=9
4.75N=8
Corners for
3.78N=9
4.88
Corners against
6.67
9.63
Match total
10.44
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.63N=8
For
2.78N=9
4.00
Match total
4.89
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.63N=8
Committed
12.33N=9
22.25
Match total
26.00
Shots
13.38N=8
Shots
12.11N=9
4.13
On target
4.33
7%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.1%50.0%+14.9 pp
Draw26.9%27.8%+0.9 pp
Away38.0%22.2%-15.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
1.69–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-011.1%
2-111.1%
2-08.3%
3-18.3%
1-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–5.61
Average total10.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.2%
Over 9.563.9%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.538.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.87
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.3%
Away40.0%