Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-11 · 20:15
11.4065.5%
X4.4520.6%
26.6113.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
DWWWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Sp Braga
WLDWWLWWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.60
0.60
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
5.70N=10
2.30
Against
3.90
9.90
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
3.10
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.50goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.00
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.60goals per match
Benfica conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
2.30
Corners against
3.90
9.90
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.10
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
29.40
Match total
23.50

Shots

17.90N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
6.60
On target
5.10
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches318
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.5%71.4%+5.9 pp
Draw20.6%19.8%-0.8 pp
Away13.9%8.8%-5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.2%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

2.230.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.2%
2-012.6%
1-011.0%
3-18.5%
1-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.753.40
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=318.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.6%50.5%–69.9% CI
Draw FT28.7%20.6%–38.6% CI
Away FT10.6%5.9%–18.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals24.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.3%
Away31.9%