Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 18:00
11.6954.7%
X3.8623.9%
24.3321.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WWDWWWDLWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Estoril
LLLWWLLWLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.90
Against
4.90
7.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
3.30
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.20goals per match
Estoril conceded2.00
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.30goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.90
7.60
Match total
9.20
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.20
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
24.40
Match total
26.50

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.00
On target
3.30
22%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches468
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.7%61.3%+6.6 pp
Draw23.9%23.3%-0.7 pp
Away21.3%15.4%-6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS59.4%

Historical average

2.011.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.4%
1-111.8%
2-111.8%
1-08.8%
3-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.884.11
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=468.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches113
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.0%44.8%–62.9% CI
Draw FT32.7%24.8%–41.8% CI
Away FT13.3%8.2%–20.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.2%
2+ goals59.3%
3+ goals24.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.6%
Away39.8%