Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-23 · 19:00
15.6916.2%
X3.9223.5%
21.5360.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Casa Pia
LLDDDWWDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Sp Braga
LWWLDWWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.90
1.60
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.60N=10
For
6.00N=10
6.60
Against
3.30
9.20
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.40goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.00
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.90goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.60N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
6.60
Corners against
3.30
9.20
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.40
Match total
4.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

18.20N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
30.80
Match total
23.90

Shots

7.40N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
2.50
On target
5.60
19%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches118
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.2%12.7%-3.5 pp
Draw23.5%22.9%-0.6 pp
Away60.3%64.4%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS42.4%

Historical average

0.741.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-120.3%
0-216.9%
1-211.0%
1-18.5%
2-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.565.69
Average total9.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=118.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.542.4%
Over 10.530.5%
Over 11.523.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.9%2.7%–20.8% CI
Draw FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI
Away FT60.5%44.7%–74.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals44.7%
3+ goals7.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.3%
Away73.7%