Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 20:30
11.7851.8%
X3.5126.3%
24.2021.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WWWDWWWDLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Famalicao
WDLLWLLDWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.90
Against
5.40
7.50
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.40goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.30
Matchup

Famalicao attack

0.80goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.40
7.50
Match total
9.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.90
Match total
5.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
17.20N=10
25.50
Match total
34.30

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.40
On target
3.30
23%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches587
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.8%48.4%-3.4 pp
Draw26.3%31.0%+4.7 pp
Away21.9%20.6%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS50.3%

Historical average

1.530.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
1-012.4%
0-010.4%
2-08.9%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.834.18
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=587.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches191
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.1%29.6%–43.1% CI
Draw FT46.6%39.7%–53.7% CI
Away FT17.3%12.6%–23.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.1%
2+ goals35.6%
3+ goals11.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.4%
Away36.6%