Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 18:00
15.9815.4%
X3.8523.9%
21.5260.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
WLDLWWLLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Sp Braga
DLWWLDWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.90
1.60
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.80
Against
3.00
9.50
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.50
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

0.90goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.90goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.80
Corners against
3.00
9.50
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.50
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
29.20
Match total
24.70

Shots

7.40N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
2.30
On target
5.40
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.4%11.9%-3.5 pp
Draw23.9%20.2%-3.8 pp
Away60.6%67.9%+7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

0.821.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.5%
0-216.5%
1-214.7%
1-17.3%
2-16.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.425.50
Average total8.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=109.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.4%
Over 9.537.6%
Over 10.526.6%
Over 11.522.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.7%1.8%–21.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%16.7%–47.9% CI
Away FT63.3%45.5%–78.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.7%
Away80.0%