Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 20:30
13.2528.4%
X3.1229.5%
22.1942.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
LLWWWDWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Porto
WWWWWWWLWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
0.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.90
Against
3.60
7.70
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
0.50
3.10
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.20goals per match
Porto conceded0.50
Matchup

Porto attack

1.80goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.90
Corners against
3.60
7.70
Match total
8.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.30
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
23.70
Match total
28.10

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.90
On target
5.50
20%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches478
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.4%25.9%-2.4 pp
Draw29.5%33.3%+3.7 pp
Away42.1%40.8%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

0.991.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
0-112.6%
0-011.9%
1-09.8%
0-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.454.94
Average total9.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=478.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches158
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT17.7%12.6%–24.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%42.3%–57.7% CI
Away FT32.3%25.5%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.9%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals10.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.5%
Away48.1%