Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 18:00
13.3028.0%
X3.3327.7%
22.0844.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
DLLWWWDWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWWWDWDWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
2.00
0.90
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
7.10N=10
2.70
Against
3.10
8.00
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
3.10
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.20goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.70
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.00goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
2.70
Corners against
3.10
8.00
Match total
10.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.20
Match total
6.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
22.80
Match total
28.70

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
5.10
On target
5.60
18%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches643
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.0%25.8%-2.1 pp
Draw27.7%26.7%-1.0 pp
Away44.3%47.4%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.091.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
0-111.7%
1-211.2%
1-08.6%
0-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.605.14
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=643.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches193
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.9%20.2%–32.5% CI
Draw FT34.2%27.9%–41.1% CI
Away FT39.9%33.2%–46.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals43.0%
3+ goals20.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.5%
Away60.6%