Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 18:00
14.8619.3%
X4.1422.7%
21.6258.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
DDLWWWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Benfica
WLLWWWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.20
1.00
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
6.60N=10
2.50
Against
3.10
9.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.00goals per match
Benfica conceded1.00
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.20goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
2.50
Corners against
3.10
9.90
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.90
Match total
5.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
26.40
Match total
27.00

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
6.00
On target
6.00
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.3%12.2%-7.1 pp
Draw22.7%20.7%-2.0 pp
Away58.0%67.1%+9.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.541.5%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

0.902.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.4%
0-213.4%
1-29.8%
2-27.3%
0-06.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.435.68
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT63.2%41.0%–80.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home15.8%
Away63.2%