Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 18:00
11.7354.3%
X3.4527.2%
25.1018.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
LDDLWWWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Santa Clara
WLWDWDLWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.60
1.70
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.00
Against
6.10
9.60
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
3.40
Total goals
1.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.10goals per match
Santa Clara conceded0.80
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.80goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.10
9.60
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
17.60N=10
26.70
Match total
29.70

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
5.80
On target
2.50
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches214
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%52.3%-2.0 pp
Draw27.2%29.0%+1.7 pp
Away18.4%18.7%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.518.7%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

1.440.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.4%
1-115.0%
2-013.6%
0-09.8%
2-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.263.53
Average total8.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=214.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.3%
Over 9.538.8%
Over 10.527.6%
Over 11.522.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.3%32.0%–53.4% CI
Draw FT37.2%27.3%–48.3% CI
Away FT20.5%13.0%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.1%
Away35.9%