Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 18:00
13.7824.8%
X3.4127.5%
21.9747.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
WDWLDWWWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sp Braga
WWWWWWDLWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
0.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.30
Against
5.10
9.70
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
0.60
2.80
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.60goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.60
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.30goals per match
Estoril conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.10
9.70
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.60
Match total
5.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.40N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
32.20
Match total
27.30

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.30
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches390
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.8%21.8%-3.0 pp
Draw27.5%25.1%-2.4 pp
Away47.6%53.1%+5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.001.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
0-111.0%
1-210.8%
0-27.9%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.465.45
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=390.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches112
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%17.1%–32.8% CI
Draw FT34.8%26.6%–44.0% CI
Away FT41.1%32.4%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.7%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.0%
Away58.9%