Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 18:00
11.3668.8%
X4.7519.7%
28.1811.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WLDDLWWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
AVS
DDDDLLDWLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.00
Against
5.30
9.90
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.90goals per match
AVS conceded1.40
Matchup

AVS attack

0.60goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.30
9.90
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.10
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
27.00
Match total
30.00

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.60
On target
2.10
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches182
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.8%70.9%+2.0 pp
Draw19.7%17.6%-2.1 pp
Away11.4%11.5%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS44.5%

Historical average

2.080.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.8%
2-014.3%
2-111.5%
3-011.5%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.893.14
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=182.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.3%49.3%–75.3% CI
Draw FT26.5%16.2%–40.3% CI
Away FT10.2%4.4%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.8%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals20.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.6%
Away34.7%